Its going to be a tough Christmas in the trades

I don’t have much sympathy for the big builders. Especially when they say things likes this….
“Perhaps as the presidential campaign heats up and moves to the front page, negative articles about housing will move off the front page,” he said. “Then, hopefully, the positive underpinnings of low interest rates, low unemployment and a decent economy Click Here to continue reading.

Today things went down

Today everyone was freaking out about how fast the dollar fell. As Marco Man said…

Well, you can’t say that Macro Man didn’t warn you. More than two months ago, he suggested that Fed easing of 0.50% or more could generate a ‘dollar down bubble.’ After the initial Fed easing, he warned that the buck was toast. And so it’s come to pass, with the USD falling steadily since he first voiced his concerns. Until recently, however, the dollar’s decline has been relatively orderly, and not characteristic of the “throw caution to the wind” price action that one normally associates with bubbles. All that may have changed today, however, as the buck is falling hard against every currency under the sun, including erstwhile whipping-boy the yen. It looks like the real meat of the dollar down bubble has begun.

We wonders if the dollar is really in a reverse bubble right now. But regardless of whether Marco Man is right or not, the falling dollar is starting to make people sit up and take notice. This from AP….

Wall Street suffered its second big drop in a week Wednesday, with investors worried about spreading fallout from the credit crisis at banks and about a dollar that just keeps getting weaker. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 360 points – just about matching its plunge of last Thursday.

A passel of worries tormented investors, including the dollar, which swooned amid speculation that China will seek to diversify some of its foreign currency stockpiles beyond the greenback. Meanwhile, a record loss from General Motors Corp. owing to an accounting adjustment further dragged on sentiment.

Oil traded above $98 per barrel for the first time before retreating, and gold pushed higher, moves exacerbated by an anemic dollar.

The 13-nation euro hit a fresh record against the dollar – rising to $1.4729 – before falling back. The dollar fell not only against the euro but in Asia following a report that a senior Chinese political figure said China should diversify its $1.43 trillion foreign exchange reserves into the euro and other strong currencies.

On top of all this, people are getting increasingly concerned about the health of the banks. But right now, all those worries are still in the speculative stage.