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NYC firehouses already shutting down over vaccine mandate

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Ethiopia: Rebel groups claim control of major northern towns

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Minneapolis Set to Vote on Dissolving Police Department

Despite the fact that the global gas price surge originated from woefully low inventories in Europe and led to record Asian LNG spot prices, Asia is winning the bidding war for spot LNG supply, leaving Europe undersupplied.

The Yuppie FEMA Plan

The Federal Emergency Management Agency says that “Even though it is unlikely that an emergency would cut off your food supply for two weeks, consider maintaining a supply that will last that long.” And later on in the same document they say “Consider storing at least a two-week supply of water for each member of your family.” Using this document as an authority, we can say that being prepared for two weeks is the Boy Scout level of preparation. If you are at this level, nobody can consider you paranoid because you are just a good little citizen doing what your government recommends that you should do.

But what does it really mean to be prepared for two weeks cut off from resupply of food and water? Honestly speaking, if your sole goal is to stay alive then you likely don’t need to do anything. Most everyone would still be alive if all power, sewer, clean water, and other supplies were cut off for a period of two weeks. The frail might die, but everyone else has enough spare fat and could drink bad water if they had to. At the end of the two week period many people might be sick and weak, but they would not be dead.

If your goal is a little higher than just staying alive, then you have to define what you are looking for. Do you want perfect comfort just as if the disaster never happened? Do you just want to remain healthy until the cavalry arrives to saves the day? On the other paw, you also have to consider what you are willing to do to achieve your goals. After all, if money is no object, we would all pick riding out the disaster in perfect comfort. But it takes effort and money to prepare for things and we all have a finite supply of both.

What follows is two separate “FEMA Plans” constructed as a thought experiment to aide me in my ponderings of the subject. One plan is constructed for a yuppie family of four living in a suburban environment. The other plan is constructed for a rural working poor family of four. What differs between the two plans is budget and assumptions as to the capabilities of the theoretical family in question. What both plans have in common is the following…..

1. Both plans are designed to enable the theoretical families to remain functional and to be part of the solution and not part of the problem. Comfort is not a goal. Rather, the goal is being healthy enough to function normally and having the equipped needed to do things that would make the situation better.
2. The plan is based around what is theoretically necessary to accomplish the above goal in a situation where there is no utilities, no sewer, no gas for vehicles, and no outside emergency support services for the duration of those two weeks.
3. All the stuff listed in these plans needs to be functional and ready to use 10 to 20 years in the future even if forgotten and ignored up until it is needed.
4. All the stuff in one of these plans should be able to fit into a closet. This is more about defining the amount of total storage space sacrificed to disaster preparedness and it is not a requirement of the plan that everything be suitable for storing in a closet. In the abstract it would be better for me to say that total space needed by the plan should be no more than 126 cubic feet (3*6*7) but it is easier to envision a closet then that amount of space in the abstract.
5. The assumption behind both plans is that the families live in the northeast and have to deal with weather and water resources typically for that region.
6. Budget for both plans is defined ahead of time and items are chosen to fit within that budget. For the “yuppie” plan the budget for this plan was derived from the one year cost in annual premiums if a healthy 30 year old male signed up for whole life insurance to the tune of $500,000. Buying life whole life insurance seems like a very middle class thing to do so the assumption is if they can afford to do that on a regular basis then they can afford pay that amount out once to prepare for FEMA style emergencies. At the time this plan was put together, that premium cost was estimated to be $4015 per year and so that is our budget number to stay under for the yuppie plan. For the rural working poor plan the budget is $800 on the grounds that seems to be roughly the amount that they spend on a “vacation” if they don’t have a lot of money but are gainfully employed

We will consider the “yuppie” plan first.

Continue reading

Links For Today

Delta Variant of COVID-19: Fully Vaccinated People Can Contract The New Variant And Spread It Further, Lancet Study Confirms

Vaccinated People Easily Transmit COVID-19 Delta Variant in Households: UK Study

Tiki-Torch Wielding Virginia Dems Caught Faking White Supremacist Photo Op to Smear Glenn Youngkin

Meat and mental health: A meta-analysis of meat consumption, depression, and anxiety

Study: 87% of excess lung cancer risk eliminated if smokers quit before age 45

McDonald’s Does Exactly What Anyone Who Understands Economics Said Would Happen

Links For Today

‘Humans are a mistake’: Why more young women are getting sterilized

Citing Climate, New York Nixes Two Natural Gas Power Plant Plans

De Blasio pushing forward with legalized heroin injection sites for New York City

Ocean carriers with lingering cargo will initially be charged $100 per container, with daily incremental increases

Chinese Coal Prices Plunge After Beijing Imposes Price Caps

China’s Latest Energy Crunch: Diesel Rationing

Here’s the FBI’s Internal Guide for Getting Data from AT&T, T-Mobile, Verizon


Gut check: Pelosi schedules Rules Committee hearing tomorrow on reconciliation package that, er, still doesn’t exist

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FACEPALM: Los Angeles Will Fine Cargo Ships That Can’t Unload

Hertz Buying 100,000 Tesla Vehicles for Rental Fleet, Brady Endorsement

Bosnian-Serb leader Milorad Dodik is stoking the nationalist flames in his country and would like to secede from Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Pablo Escobar’s cocaine hippos legally ‘people’: US judge

New York’s New Governor Draws Backlash For Maskless Broadway Outing

After Ukraine’s First Bayraktar Drone Attack, Rebels Allege Minsk Violation

Links For Today

Business groups ask Biden to delay vaccine mandate until after the holidays

Biggest issue from my perspective is that what is aimed at Billionaires does not stay aimed at Billionaires. The Billionaire Tax: The Worst Tax Idea Ever?

Shippers Find New Supply-Chain Hurdles at Alternate Ports

Loudoun County Students Walk Out of Class in Protest

Turkish media erupts with news of Iran spy arrests — three weeks late

Democrats say GOP lawmakers implicated in Jan. 6 should be expelled

In one of nature’s unexpected bounties, a harmless food-grade solvent has been used to extract highly sought rare-earth metals from coal ash

Links For Today

Refiners Suffer From Record High Natural Gas Prices

Why the Great Power Governments Are Cracking Down on Big Tech

China warns of further spread in latest COVID-19 flare-up

Novel approach to treating type 2 diabetes shows prolonged normal blood sugar levels after a single one-time procedure

When the media’s credibility collapsed, the New York Times led the way

I am not sure about this, but I do agree with the general question of why we don’t have more people putting feet on the ground to report on this. The Last Days of The Romanovs at the Port of Los Angeles (and Where Is Everybody?)

California Families Hire Private Security as Crime Tsunami Overwhelms Local Police

Attack at Al-Tanf Garrison

Sudan’s military seizes control in coup