Somebody Wants a New Safe Haven

From Macro Man….

People who are acquainted with Macro Man, either personally or virtually, will know that he is very rarely lost for words. This morning, however, he has reached that milestone, as he’s watched prices flicker on his screen in slack-jawed silence.

Policymakers often reference a desire to avoid “excessive volatility” and the proper functioning of markets. Suffice to say that that we are now firmly in the presence of the former, with an utter absence of the latter. Regardless of your market view, right or wrong, you want to have a market in which to transact. The past couple of weeks, and the past couple of days in particular, has seen complete implosion of the market’s ability to reflect transaction flows and fundamentals.

This morning, for example, the German ifo survey printed a lower-than-expected 82.6, it’s worst reading since…err…ever. Regardless of what you think about the dollar, it would seem to be an excessive response for EUR/USD to rally 3 big figures in the ensuing hour.

Brad Setser spells it out a little more concretely…..

Only a few days ago, so it seems, it took about $1.25 to buy a euro. Now it takes closer to $1.45 (it was more earlier today, but the dollar subsequently rallied). And — as Macro Man notes — the dollar’s move pales relative to the recent slide in the pound. Not so long ago a pound bought 1.5 euros. Now it buys a euro and change. The Anglo-Saxon currencies haven’t had a good two week run.

Both the US and the UK had housing and finance centric economies. Both have significant external deficits. And both are inclined to use monetary and fiscal policy aggressively to combat a downturn.

Maybe this has something to do with the Fed telling everyone who will listen that they are going to print dollars until all their problems go away.

Macro Man argues other wise. He points out that Euro moved high against everything so he does not think that this move should be considered some kind of reaction against the dollar.

But a good part of the dollar’s recent strength has been the desire for a safe haven. Maybe a lot of people decided they wanted a new safe haven. I don’t see why that would not drive the Euro up against everything

Forty Minute War

Elsewhere, I wrote about the three hundred and thirty-five year war(1). To fill in the opposite end of the spectrum, I now present to you the “Forty Minute War” otherwise known as the Anglo-Zanzibar War(2). It began something like this:
The Anglo-Zanzibar War was fought between the United Kingdom and Zanzibar on 27 August 1896. The […]

This is hard to justify

From the Naked Capitalism…..

AIG’s loans so far come to $1.4 million per employee, and many of whom are stationed overseas. But their requests for more cash and better terms got speedy approval, while the auto industry, on whom far more jobs depend, may be dealt a deadly blow due to the failure to due a basic investigation of likely consequences.

I get the point. But throwing money down a rat hole is throwing money down a rat hole regardless if it is the Big Three or AIG. My solution for this injustice would be to stop giving money to AIG.

You can live forever in misery

Survivalists and economic doomsayers will be glad to know that you can pretty much survive on potatoes and milk. The only real lack, according to this analysis, can be covered by — c’mon now, guess — yeah. Oatmeal. This is a fine example of the good news being the bad news, which grants this information an immediate place in the halls of Fact without further review.

(Please note that the source site, Straight Dope, is open to any question, meaning you may find some links distasteful. I concurr with the second reader in the pigeon controversy.)

Releasing Inmates?

From the AP on Paterson’s Budget Proposal….

His play book is a proposed 2009-10 budget of $121.1 billion, which includes layoffs, a cut in school aid, 88 new or higher fees, and the early release of 1,600 inmates.

I can see the layoffs. I can see the cut in school aid. I can even sort of see the higher fees. But releasing inmates to save money strikes me as the last thing the state should be doing.

"This completely overturns our understanding of things."

From NASA…..

NASA’s five THEMIS spacecraft have discovered a breach in Earth’s magnetic field ten times larger than anything previously thought to exist. Solar wind can flow in through the opening to “load up” the magnetosphere for powerful geomagnetic storms. But the breach itself is not the biggest surprise. Researchers are even more amazed at the strange and unexpected way it forms, overturning long-held ideas of space physics.

“At first I didn’t believe it,” says THEMIS project scientist David Sibeck of the Goddard Space Flight Center. “This finding fundamentally alters our understanding of the solar wind-magnetosphere interaction.”

Grab the Pitchforks….

When you start quoting the Daily Kos, you have to look deep within your soul and start considering the dark path you are on. Nonetheless, this seems well sourced and it makes me madder then a wet hen.

For today the state of Wisconsin at the behest of the USDA drags an Amish farmer named Emmanuel Miller to court for obeying his religious principles.

Perhaps this moment will begin to intimate how the USDA has been operating and why the head of the USDA has become not a political choice but actually life and death for American farmers.

Mr. Miller is due in court today, this Wed. Dec. 17th, at 3:00 pm, at the Clark County Court House, 517 Court St. Neillsville, WI, for his initial court appearance
Family Farm Defenders is encouraging food sovereignty advocates to appear in court in Neillsville to express their solidarity with the Amish farmer being targeted by the State of Wisconsin in its first effort to enforce mandatory premises registration, stage one of the controversial National Animal Identification System (NAIS).

This is a similar case from Michigan.

The Bhopal Disaster

China has been in the news a lot recently for its poor health record. It is a sad fact that they are not the only country with this problem, and that this is not a new problem. Let me take you back to Bhopal, India in December 1984. According to the Wikipedia article(1):
The Bhopal disaster […]