Fannie going to need 10 billion+ this quarter.

From Fannie’s 8-K filling….

Fannie Mae (formally, the Federal National Mortgage Association) is in the process of preparing its financial statements for the fourth quarter of 2008 and the year ended December 31, 2008. Based on preliminary unaudited information concerning its results for these periods, management currently expects that the Federal Housing Finance Agency, acting in its capacity as conservator of Fannie Mae (the “Conservator”), will submit a request to the U.S. Department of the Treasury (“Treasury”) to draw funds on behalf of Fannie Mae under the $100 billion Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement entered into between Treasury and the Conservator, acting on behalf of Fannie Mae, on September 7, 2008, and subsequently amended and restated on September 26, 2008 (the “Purchase Agreement”). Although management currently estimates that the amount of this initial draw will be approximately $11 billion to $16 billion, the actual amount of the draw may differ materially from this estimate because Fannie Mae is still working through the process of preparing and finalizing its financial statements for the fourth quarter of 2008 and the year ended December 31, 2008.

If you are conservative and figure 10 Billion for Fannie and 30 Billion for Freddie, you have a 40 Billion dollar draw on the government in one quarter.

Memory Chip Makers Starting To Go Under

From the Times…

On Friday Qimonda, of Germany, became the first big chipmaker to file for insolvency. The world’s fourth-biggest manufacturer of DRAM memory chips, used mainly in PCs, said that a €325 million (£306 million) rescue attempt by the German state of Saxony, Infineon, its parent company, and a group of banks had not been agreed in time to save it. Qimonda follows Nortel Networks, North America’s biggest telecoms equipment maker, in filing for insolvency.

The semiconductor sector was in poor shape before the present downturn, with large players having spent lavishly in early 2007 on increased production to expand their market share, resulting in oversupply and price collapses. Cash-strapped manufacturers have cut output, but the weakness in demand has prevented any meaningful price gains.

The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly

From Slate….

Gettelfinger argued Toyota’s workers actually make $2-per-hour more than UAW workers, if you count bonuses. But … but. … Toyota did not go bankrupt. … Toyota hasn’t had to be rescued with $17.4 billion of taxpayer money. … If Toyota can afford to pay its workers $2/hour more than UAW workers–perhaps because it doesn’t have to build cars under the union’s legalistic work rule system–that’s great. It doesn’t mean Gettelfinger’s workers have a right to $28/hour if at that wage their employers can’t stay in business without an ongoing multi-billion dollar subsidy. I’m sorry if this seems obvious. It’s apparently not obvious enough. … P.S.: So will promoters of greater unionization now boast that with unions, workers can earn $2/hour less?

The last line is the kicker.

On a different note….

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi boldly defended a move to add birth control funding to the new economic “stimulus” package, claiming “contraception will reduce costs to the states and to the federal government.”

Two words: Social Security.

Now for the ugly…

In a country where 12-hour workdays are common, the electronics giant has taken to letting its employees leave early twice a week for a rather unusual reason: to encourage them to have more babies.

“Canon has a very strong birth planning program,” says the company’s spokesman Hiroshi Yoshinaga. “Sending workers home early to be with their families is a part of it.”

Japan in the midst of an unprecedented recession, so corporations are being asked to work toward fixing another major problem: the country’s low birthrate.

At 1.34, the birthrate is well below the 2.0 needed to maintain Japan’s population, according to the country’s Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare.

Now I am all for babies as much as it is possible for a guy to be. But I dunno about working for a company that feels compelled to urge you to multiply. Business is Business and family is family. Still, the ugliest thing about the above story is that 1.34 figure. Japan no longer has the time to turn their birth rates around. They are doomed without massive immigration and I don’t see anyone in Japan willing to accept that.

Let the Trade Wars Begin

From the Times….

A coalition of leading American exporters, including Boeing, Caterpillar and General Electric, is trying to stop a “Buy America” clause being included in President Obama’s $825 billion stimulus package.

The American Steel First Act would ensure that only US-made steel was used in $64 billion of federally funded infrastructure projects.

The money, earmarked for roads, bridges and waterways, is aimed at kickstarting the economy, but the initiative by steelmakers, which secured support last week in the House of Representatives Appropriations Committee, is opposed by American exporters, who fear retaliation by foreign governments.

Their concern is given credence by the European Commission and by Eurofer, the association of European steelmakers, which said that it would urge the European Union to challenge the “Buy America” clause at the World Trade Organisation.

Also from the Times…

The head of the International Monetary Fund turned up the heat on China over its exchange rate policies on Monday, arguing that it was clear that the Chinese yuan was “significantly undervalued”.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the IMF’s managing director, said that it was in Beijing’s clear interest to allow the yuan to strengthen on foreign exchanges and insisted that the fund had been straightforward on the issue and had repeatedly spelled out this assessment.

Mr Strauss-Kahn’s intervention stepped up pressure on China over its currency only days after Tim Geithner, President Obama’s nominee as US Treasury Secretary, sent a tremor through markets as he signalled a potential shift to a harder line from Washington over the yuan.

Unforgivable

The Israeli newspaper Haaretz has a blow by blow account of Israel’s diplomatic moves. But all you really need to know comes from the first line…

The political goals of Operation Cast Lead were not formulated until a few days after the fighting in Gaza began.

If the word “war crime” had any real meaning, the above would be grounds for prosecution. It reveals a criminal level of incompetence that would be punished by death if Israel was not so much stronger than Hamas. War is always a horrible thing, but to engage in it without even knowing what you want to accomplish is no better then random killing.

It would be one thing if the operation had been a fast reaction to a sudden attack. But Israel endured the increased rocket attacks for weeks without doing anything. For the political leadership to have no idea of what they wanted to accomplish after waiting all that time is inexcusable.

Edit: A different article from Haaretz has the military perspective….

An officer who was in contact with the political echelon during the Gaza operation says he now understands what went so horribly wrong in Lebanon: “It was weird, to put it mildly.” Another senior figure adds: “It is difficult to conduct a war when an election campaign is under way. Two of the ‘kitchen cabinet’ members were interested in the operation’s implications for the elections. The third [Olmert] was busy with the question of what it would all mean for his legacy.”

The news from Turkey sounds like it came out of a novel

From Spiegel…..

Roughly 150 politicians, ex-military officials, journalists and powerful demimonde characters stand accused. State prosecutors suspect the group of being behind plans to overthrow the government. As members of a secret network, called Ergenekon, named after a mythical valley celebrated by ancient Turks, the group allegedly planned to assassinate members of the country’s political and cultural elite.

The idea, as prosecutors see it, was for Turkey to sink into fear and chaos before being rescued by an army coup that would reinstate peace and order. The armed forces, after all, see themselves as protectors of the nation they inherited from Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, the founder of modern-day Turkey. The Turkish military has staged coups three times in the country’s recent past: in 1969, 1971 and 1980.

That is your thriller from Turkey. If tearjerkers are more to your taste, The Belmont Club has a story about a 1600 old Christian monastery in Turkey that is under threat from rising Islamic fervor in Turkey.

Shout it from the roof tops

From Slashfilm…..

Following up on our previous news regarding Monty Python material on iTunes, Mashable is now reporting on a staggering increase of Monty Python DVDs sold on Amazon soon after the Python crew made some of their their more popular material free on Youtube. And by staggering, I mean 23,000% worth. Mashable notes that Monty Python’s DVDs climbed to the #2 spot on Amazon’s Movie’s and TV Bestseller List, and you don’t have to be a genius to follow that the sales were probably influenced by the Amazon links found on all of their Youtube clips.

You also don’t have to be a genius to note that people who figure out ways of making Youtube work for them make more money then those who spend their time worrying about how Youtube is being used to pirate their clips.

ING is not immune

From the Times….

ING, the Dutch financial giant, announced the departure today of its chief executive and 7,000 job losses as it posted a fourth-quarter deficit of €3.3 billion (£3.1 billion)

It also said that it had reached an agreement with the Dutch Government over €22 billion of state loan guarantees for its troubled mortgage loan portfolio.

Life is full of mysteries

From Spiegel….

Forget the “Dukes of Hazard.” In the eastern German town of Limbach-Oberfrohna on Sunday night, a 23-year-old driver speeding through the town center lost control of his vehicle, launched off an embankment and ended up smashed into the roof of the village church some seven meters (23 feet) up. And far from driving a 1969 Dodge Charger, as Bo and Luke Duke favored, the man was behind the wheel of a modest Skoda Octavia station wagon.

Just how the driver, who was evacuated out of the church attic and taken to the hospital with serious injuries, ended up flying so high remains something of a mystery. Police officer Knut Wagner told reporters merely that “the driver took off due to unexplained circumstances, flew some 30 meters (98 feet) through the air and ended up seven meters up in the church roof.”