Was the failure to bail out Lehman Brothers a mistake?

They say that the failure to bail out Lehman Brothers was a mistake. But given the fact that the cost of the bails that did go through continues to grow, I don’t buy this line of reasoning.

From Calculated Risk…

The Fed has marked down the Bear Stearns assets from $29,526 million to $26,802 million this week. This is a mark down of $2.7 billion or 9.2%. The Fed is now underwater by a little over $2 billion plus lost interest.

From Naked Capitalism….

In case you weren’t keeping tabs (the number and variety of handout-recipients grows with every passing day), AIG was first given a loan (really, akin to a maximum borrowing authorization) of $85 billion with much fanfare and high drama, which was later quietly increased by another $37.8 billion. In the last ten days, AIG has said it intended to borrow perhaps as much as $10 billion through a separate, new commercial paper program.

Bloomberg indicates that AIG is now saying that it might need even more dough, although its latest plea does not have a figure attached to it.

Don't Forget…

From Wired….

When the next big earthquake hits the San Francisco Bay Area, it will be a catastrophe of Hurricane Katrina proportions. Hundreds, perhaps thousands of people will die, and hundreds of thousands will become homeless. Economic losses will be on the order of $200 billion, the vast majority of it uninsured. Outside help will be desperately needed, but difficult to coordinate and execute.

The article goes into some detail as to why it will be so bad. But really who does not realize that that San Francisco Bay Area is at risk for bad earthquake?

The real disgusting thing is who few people in the bay area are prepared for one. But it will be all the government’s fault when the calvary fails to arrive fast enough for their liking.

Here is something for the paranoid

From the BBC….

Scientists from Porton Down have been deployed in the UK a “number of times this year”, the government’s head of counter-terrorism has told MPs.

The lab mainly specialises in nuclear and biological warfare but the reason for the deployments is not known.

Given that people in the U.K have been known to drink radioactive tea, I am not all that surprised that they keep them people busy.

Big Numbers

From the New York Times…

The Wachovia Corporation announced a $23.9 billion third-quarter loss on Wednesday as it prepared to be taken over by Wells Fargo.

From the same article….

Wachovia’s quarterly loss appears to be one of the largest in banking history. It is bigger than the market values of 422 companies that make up the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, and slightly more than the gross domestic product of Panama.

From a different New York Times article….

For decades, Americans have considered money-market mutual funds as safe as bank accounts. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve pledged $540 billion to make sure they really are.

From the Wall Street Journal……

The California Public Employees’ Retirement System, known as Calpers, said its assets have declined by more than 20%, or at least $48 billion, from the end of June through Oct. 10.

Unless returns improve, Calpers is poised to impose an estimated increase in employer contributions of 2% to 4% of payroll starting in July 2010 for about two-thirds of its state employer members, and in July 2011 for the remaining third. Any decision will be made after Calpers knows its returns for the fiscal year.

I am from the Government and I am here to help (A Rerun)

From the Wall Street Journal….

The government said its reason for taking control of the private pension funds was to protect investors from losses resulting from the global turmoil. President Kirchner said in a speech: “The main member countries of the [Group of Eight] are adopting a policy of protection of the banks and, in our case, we are protecting the workers and retirees.”

But economists said the motive is to provide the government with about $5 billon in annual pension contributions to help plug the government financing gap and avert a second default. “They were in a tight situation and this was an accessible source of funds,” said Buenos Aires economist Aldo Abram.

Rational Talk

From The New York Times…

“It doesn’t matter how much Hank Paulson gives us,” said an influential senior official at a big bank that received money from the government, “no one is going to lend a nickel until the economy turns.” The official added: “Who are we going to lend money to?” before repeating an old saw about banking: “Only people who don’t need it.”

Irrational Markets Are Alive and Well

From Gene Logsdon…..

A cash grain farm in the cornbelt sold recently for an eyebrow-raising price just shy of $9000 an acre. It sold for farmland, not industrial development. I suppose that shouldn’t be surprising when USA Today reports that yachts over 80 feet long are still selling at all time high levels despite these disastrous financial times. But I can’t see how corn and soybeans will pay for such high-priced land. The grain markets are way down from summer. Demand for grain from developing countries is down. At least five ethanol plants that were supposed to turn corn into fuel have declared bankruptcy. Fertilizer, seed, and fuel costs are still historically high— fertilizer is selling for as much as a thousand dollars a ton. Some farmers have already bought their seed and fertilizer supplies for next year, thinking that these costs would continue to rise along with grain prices. What if grain prices stay down? We could be looking at a possibility of what one farmer I talk to a lot calls “instant bankruptcy.”

From Felix Salmon…

It’s not easy, being an airline. Thanks to high fuel costs, United lost $252 million in the third quarter, on an operating basis. On the other hand, United was hedged. And as a result of those hedges, United ended up losing, um, $779 million. As a result, United stock rose by 9% today, to $13.75 a share.