I don’t really have good links on the topic of the possibly Russian missile that hit Poland (slim possibility it could have been a Ukrainian anti-air missile). Below pretty much says what I know including what the Russians were likely trying to hit and why.
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, NOVEMBER 14
US, Russian spy chiefs meet in Turkey over Ukraine war
Kinburn – the Indirect Approach
Potential Ban On Russian Metals Pushes Aluminum Prices Higher
Amazon To Fire 10,000 Employees, Largest Layoff In Company History
A Remedy for the Federally Funded Physician Shortage
Canada will soon allow medically assisted dying for mental illness.
Back on November 12th, Reporting From Ukraine predicted that the next target of the Ukrainian military would be the Kinburn peninsula. I did not think that this was anything other the Ukrainian forces trying to worry the Russians because it seemed crazy to me that they would try to attack the Russians across a body of water. Today all the pro-Ukrainian U-tube channels that I regularly watch are showing videos like this one….
It is still not clear that this is anything other then a raid (Russia says that it destroyed all the attackers for what that is worth). But Ukraine is sure getting a lot of people’s hopes up if it is only a raid.
Here is Reporting from Ukraine trying to assuage the concerns of people like me who do not think this is tactically sound.
I am not convinced myself. Crossing in little rubber boats is not the same thing as having heavy lift boats needed for really resupply. Also, I see no discussion of Russian Air Power.
If this all works out as being portrayed, it is a sign of how much the Russian military has been degraded. But I am still not convinced the goal is take ground. I think it is possible that the primary motive is to mess with Russian heads.
After this rant has gone viral, I don’t see this guy having a long life. But clearly he is afraid that neither he nor the guys he seems to care about (dragged himself out of hospital because he did not want his guys to go on with out him) are going to have a long life in any case.
The rest of the rant from another point of view.
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, NOVEMBER 12
Pakistan ‘Has No Option But To Ration’ Natural Gas Supply This Winter
It matters how the vote is spread out almost as much as how many you get. In the House, the GOP actually won the popular vote, with what looks like a 5 percent swing in their direction from 2020. That did not, however, translate to the large increase of seats many were predicting beforehand.
At least 5 killed after Nicole makes historic, rare November landfall in Florida
I did not not it would happen this fast. Pro-Russian sources are flipping out. I will try to give examples later.
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, NOVEMBER 10
Europe in trouble. More French nuclear power out for winter, and prices hit €1,000/MW
3D-printed guns are on the rise in Australia. How can we prevent them being made?
Iran Warns Saudi Arabia ‘Our Strategic Patience’ May Run Out
Dentists’ water lines linked to rare bacterial infections, CDC warns