The numbers and the measures become more and more extreme. For AIG to get permission from regulators to move $20 billion in capital from its subs to the holding company and have significant asset disposals teed up wasn’t sufficient to shore up the embattled insurer., The Fed has reportedly convened yet another emergency session to see if the usual suspects might be able to somehow aid the embattled insurer. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Fed has leaned on Goldman and JP Morgan for an emergency $70-$75 billion loan as well.
Category Archives: Front Page
Poem of the Week: 9/14/08-9/20/08
Below is an advertisement for AIG that ran some time ago. That same insurance company is now asking the Fed’s for a bridge loan and is fighting for its life. If you don’t recognize the words right off the bat look up T.S. Eliot’s “The Love Song of J. Alfred Prufrock”.
We are sorry that Eilot got dragged into this and we would like to point out that it was not our fault. But the irony was so rich we could not resist posting it.
Rant of the Week: 9/14/08-9/20/08
We try to stay away from the presidential race, but this is just too much. How much lower can the political discourse go?
Essay of the Week: 9/14/08-9/20/08
We were going to publish an essay from the Ape Man where he predicts the future. But it needs a lot more editing. If he can make it readable by tomorrow evening, we will edit this post and put it up here as essay of the week. If it is not ready, we will choose something else.
Edit: Ape Man could not produce on time so read this instead.
Unreal
From The Deal Breaker (H/T Marginal Revolution) ….
$$$ Bank of America is buying Merrill, the WSJ reports. The deal values the company at $44 billion, or $29 per share, a significant premium from Friday’s market price. Everyone is perplexed by the premium. But if it is, as some have reported, an all stock deal and BofA shares take a significant hit in the wake of the news, the final price and the premium could be much lower.
Update: CNBC’s Charlie Gasparino says the government forced Merrill to sell itself.
$$$ On CNBC they are saying that AIG has asked the Federal Reserve for some kind of emergency bridge loans. Can the Fed lend to an insurance company?
$$$ Federal Reserve is dramatically expanding its emergency lending program. It’s now going to take all sorts of collateral, including equity.
Welcome to the Future
In May 2008, 64-year-old retired school bus driver Barbara Wagner received bad news from her doctor. She found out that her cancer, which had been in remission for two years, had returned. Then, she got some good news. Her doctor gave her a prescription that would likely slow the cancer’s growth and extend her life. She was relieved by the news and also by the fact that she had health care coverage through the Oregon Health Plan.
It didn’t take long for her hopes to be dashed.
Barbara Wagner was notified by letter that the Oregon Health Plan wouldn’t cover her prescription. But the letter didn’t leave it at that. It also notified her that, although it wouldn’t cover her prescription, it would cover assisted suicide.
After Wagner’s story appeared in the Eugene Register-Guard, the Oregon Health Plan acknowledged that it routinely sends similar letters to patients who have little chance of surviving more than five years, informing them that the health plan will pay for assisted suicide (euphemistically categorized as “comfort care”), but not for treatment that could help them live for months or years.
Will fuel supply shortages last into October?
Where is our gasoline and diesel supply headed? Even before Ike hit, quite a few areas of the US were starting to see gasoline shortages. The impact of Ike can only make shortages worse. Most likely, it will take refineries at least a week or two to get production back to normal levels after a storm of this type, considering the impacts of electrical outages and flooding. In this article, I will examine some of the issues that seem to be involved. Based on my analysis, fuel supply shortages are likely to last well into October, and are likely to get considerably worse before they get better.
It’s to early to be sure what the effects are going to be yet. But the south is already seeing shortages. As this piece from the AP says….
Fears of supply shortages, and actual fuel-production disruptions, resulting from Ike’s lashing of vital energy infrastructure led to pump price disparities of as much as $1 a gallon in some states, and even on some blocks.
Late Saturday the U.S. Minerals Management Service said there were two confirmed reports of drilling rigs adrift in the central Gulf of Mexico.
Compounding the jitters and higher costs for gasoline retailers was the fact that some big refineries along the Gulf Coast had been shut for nearly two weeks following Hurricane Gustav. Power outages caused by Ike threatened to keep millions of gallons of gasoline output idled for at least several days.
The price of regular gasoline soared as high as $4.99 a gallon in Knoxville, Tenn. on Saturday, up from $3.66 a day earlier.
In Florida, the attorney general’s office reported prices as high as $5.50 a gallon in Tallahassee and said it had received 186 gouging complaints.
This article from the Houston Chronicle suggest that things may be better then the Oil Drum fears.
The Problem Children
I was going to write a post that laid out the size of the big banks that are rumored to be nearing death. But Nemo beat me to it.
A Coast Guard Rescue
The one thing I don’t understand is why they are doing it from such a height. I am sure they have their reasons. Maybe it is easier to control the copter the further you are from the ground?
Playing Chicken
But Mr. Paulson and Mr. Geithner made it clear to the company, its potential suitors and to the meeting participants on Friday that the government has no plans to put taxpayer money on the line. The government is deeply worried that its actions have created a moral hazard and the Federal Reserve does not want to reach deeper into its coffers. Instead, Mr. Paulson and Mr. Geithner insist that Wall Street needs to come up with an industry solution to try to stabilize Lehman Brothers and calm the markets.
Still, some of the other Wall Street banks, facing billions of dollars in losses themselves, have resisted this approach. They argue that Lehman Brothers overreached and brought its current troubles on itself. If there are no bidders for Lehman Brothers, these banks say they can collect their collateral and liquidate the troubled firm’s assets. In this high-stake game, they may also be trying to call the government’s bluff, knowing that if push came to shove, it would provide financial support.
I wish that Mr. Paulson and Mr. Geithner would let Lehman’s Brothers fail. But their past performance does not give me hope.