What happened last week is that one money market firm advertised its entire portfolio, including a large chunk of Lehman paper worth slightly less than 2% of the total fund assets. Spooked investors, who did not want to lose out if the fund “broke the buck” started withdrawing as fast as their little fingers could punch the buttons on their phones. Now, this money market fund had tens of billions worth of assets; if it started dumping them on the market, it would drive the price down, leaving them even less money to hand back to their shareholders. But there’s a reason investors herd in a bank run: the first people out get all their money back. The rest get trampled in the stampede. The fund–incidentally, the same company that founded the money market industry–“broke the buck”; that is, its shares became worth less than a dollar. It’s as if the value of your bank account suddenly dropped below the amount you’d put in.
This, by the way, is probably not the only fund this happened to, but it was the only fund that a) advertised its holdings and b) was not attached to an institution large enough to easily make good the loss.
Thus was touched off a general run on money market funds that held money for institutions–the kind that require buy ins of a couple million or more. Institutional managers have a strong incentive to do stupid, destructive things, as long as everyone else is doing them. It’s the same reason that IT managers used to buy IBM–not because it was necessarily the best solution, but because as long as you did it, no one could blame you when things went south. “I bought IBM!” troubled CTOs would say when the server crashed. “The whole market is down!” cry money managers when the financial system crashes.
Category Archives: Money
The other shoe is about to drop…
General Motors Corp., burning through cash after three years of losses, will tap the remaining $3.5 billion of a revolving credit line as the crisis on Wall Street threatens to crimp companies’ ability to borrow.
The balance of the $4.5 billion line will go to help cover restructuring costs, GM said in a statement late yesterday. The Detroit-based automaker said it also completed a $322 million debt-to-equity exchange.
Time for another bail out.
Are you scared yet?
I think this story from the New York Post is meant to scare middle income Americans in to supporting at bail out of Wall Street. Since most middle income Americans own stocks now a days, the prospect of a stock market meltdown hits them where it hurts. From the Post…
The market was 500 trades away from Armageddon on Thursday, traders inside two large custodial banks tell The Post.
Had the Treasury and Fed not quickly stepped into the fray that morning with a quick $105 billion injection of liquidity, the Dow could have collapsed to the 8,300-level – a 22 percent decline! – while the clang of the opening bell was still echoing around the cavernous exchange floor.
According to traders, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, money market funds were inundated with $500 billion in sell orders prior to the opening. The total money-market capitalization was roughly $4 trillion that morning.
Its a scam
Virtually every career employee — as many as 97 percent in one recent year — applies for and gets disability payments soon after retirement, a computer analysis of federal records by The New York Times has found. Since 2000, those records show, about a quarter of a billion dollars in federal disability money has gone to former L.I.R.R. employees, including about 2,000 who retired during that time.
The L.I.R.R.’s disability rate suggests it is one of the nation’s most dangerous places to work. Yet in four of the last five years, the railroad has won national awards for improving worker safety.
If you read the whole article, you will find that is only the tip of the iceberg.
Poem of the Week: 9/21/08-9/27/08
Macro Man’s remake of an A.E. Houseman’s To An Athlete Dying Young is this week’s poem of the week.
Rant of the Week: 9/21/08-9/27/08
Naked Capitalism rails against Hank Paulson’s bailout plan. That outrage should be shared by every American regardless of their political ideals. Sadly, the plan will probably be passes by a bi-partisan vote. Such are the wages of fear.
Essay of the Week: 9/21/08-9/27/08
In this week’s essay, Ape Man makes a prediction that seemed more daring last week when it was supposed to run then it does this week. Such are the fortunes of life.
Truth or Fiction?
If Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger wants to issue minimum-wage checks to 200,000 state workers in less than a month, he may want to rehire any semi-retired computer programmers he terminated last week.
The massive pay cut would exhaust the state’s antiquated payroll system, which is built on a Vietnam-era computer language so outdated that many college students don’t even bother to learn it anymore.
Democratic state Controller John Chiang said Monday it would take at least six months to reconfigure the state’s payroll system to issue blanket checks at the federal minimum wage of $6.55 per hour, though Schwarzenegger insists such a change should occur this month.
I have to wonder if this is really true or not. Part of me thinks that if Mr. Chiang really wanted to obey the Governor’s order, he could find a way. Then again, I know enough about how IT works on the state level to think that maybe he is telling the truth.
Nice people are bad news
As I go through this story you will get a sense of the drama that has contributed to my silence here. When the stakes get high I get a little more cautious about publishing what I know, even in the semi-anonymous form that I follow.
Early in August, the plant manager’s boss scheduled a visit. In Click Here to continue reading.
Fear Rules the Day
As Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, put it Friday morning on the ABC program “Good Morning America,” the congressional leaders were told “that we’re literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications here at home and globally.”
Mr. Schumer added, “History was sort of hanging over it, like this was a moment.”
Read the whole thing. They sound really scared. People who are really scared do stupid things.
When Mr. Schumer described the meeting as “somber,” Mr. Dodd cut in. “Somber doesn’t begin to justify the words,” he said. “We have never heard language like this.”
“What you heard last evening,” he added, “is one of those rare moments, certainly rare in my experience here, is Democrats and Republicans deciding we need to work together quickly.”
Although Mr. Schumer, Mr. Dodd and other participants declined to repeat precisely what they were told by Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Paulson, they said the two men described the financial system as effectively bound in a knot that was being pulled tighter and tighter by the day.