Links For Today

Can isometric resistance training safely reduce high blood pressure?

Exclusive: FBI finds scant evidence U.S. Capitol attack was coordinated – sources

US general tells British special forces: Stop rescuing people in Kabul, you’re making us look bad

As Eviction Moratorium Case Returns to SCOTUS, Landlords Use Biden’s Words Against Him

The Entirely Predictable Failure of the West’s Mission in Afghanistan

The Covid vaccines may affect periods. Are we allowed to talk about this?

A May 1 decision by the CDC to only track breakthrough infections that lead to hospitalization or death has left the nation with a muddled understanding of COVID-19’s impact on the vaccinated.

Biden’s no-jab-no-job order creates quandary for nursing homes

US considers ordering commercial airlines to help in Afghan evacuation

Links For Today

Massive Nurse Shortage Hits Houston—Weeks After 150 Unvaccinated Nurses and Hospital Workers Fired

COVID19 mini-update, August 20, 2021:

“Are vaccines becoming less effective at preventing Covid infection?”

What’s Wrong With Joe? Biden Calls a Lid on Public Appearances—Indefinitely

NATO Special Operators Now Exfiltrate People Directly from Kabul

CNN’s Ward: Getting inside the Kabul airport “one of the more harrowing things I have experienced”

The Scary Reason Why China Might Want More Nuclear Weapons

Not only did Presidentish Joe Biden leave UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the dark over “how it planned to withdraw [and] the pace of its withdrawal” from Afghanistan, Biden basically ghosted Johnson for 36 hours as the crisis unfolded in Kabul.

S.Korea to grant legal status to animals to tackle abuse, abandonment

Links For Today

What I Learned While Eavesdropping on the Taliban

I thought gender was a social construct. Why sports concussions are worse for women

U.S. forces can’t help Americans flee to Kabul airport, Pentagon chief says

Masks redux

Israeli data: How can efficacy vs. severe disease be strong when 60% of hospitalized are vaccinated?

Seattle Hospital to Heart Transplant Patient: Get a Covid Shot or Drop Dead

Windows 11 Is Making It Absurdly Difficult to Change Browsers

MSNBC rails against the “fantastically corrupt elite” on the ground that ruined the Afghan mission, but the real corruption was our own

The Taliban have no compunction about carrying out targeted killings as the case of a DW journalist shows.

Survey: 1 in 5 medical researchers reports pressure from funders to change study results

Something Is Wrong with the President

Links For Today

Ever wonder how they decided how much vitamin C you need? New analysis of landmark scurvy study leads to update on vitamin C needs

COVID: Why are infections rising in Israel?

Lumber Prices

Children Are Lonelier Than Ever. Can Anything Be Done?

Biden Admin Admits It Does Not Know How Many Americans Are Trapped In Afghanistan, Could Be 10,000

Skull-Stomping Sacred Cows: Afghanistan

Pentagon rushes more reinforcements to Kabul airport as panic disrupts evacuations

This Video of Afghans Desperately Clinging to a US Plane Is Horrifying. We’ll All Forget About It Soon Enough.

Haiti: Death toll from weekend earthquake nears 2,000

How Belarus Is Funneling Refugees into the EU

When given the choice between a free meal and performing a task for a meal, cats would prefer the meal that doesn’t require much effort. While that might not come as a surprise to some cat lovers, it does to cat behaviorists. Most animals prefer to work for their food — a behavior called contrafreeloading.

Archaeologists Claim They’ve Discovered the Trojan Horse in Turkey

‘New York vaccine mandate could destroy my restaurant’

Links For Today

De Blasio’s plan to give a grand a month to violent offenders is insane

You can read the article without having to watch the video. Video shows desperate Afghans trying to escape country by jumping on air-bound US planes, falling from hundreds of feet: ‘No words can describe these scenes’

More than one in ten COVID-19 patients infected in hospital in first pandemic wave

The Taliban Air Force – An Inventory Assessment

The Great Barrier Reef Is Doing Well, Despite What the Alarmists Have Said

The bitterness of those who fought.

Gamers in China respond to curbs

Is Lebanon on the Verge of a Military Coup?

Links For Today

American Medical Association, Descending Into Wokeness, Calls for Eliminating Sex on Birth Certificates

The Co-Founder Of Snopes Wrote Dozens Of Plagiarized Articles For The Fact-Checking Site

Australia: New South Wales ‘in worst ever Covid situation’

‘No beds anywhere’: As COVID wards expand, Louisiana’s small hospitals have nowhere to turn

Taliban Take the Presidential Palace

Links For Today

Lebanon’s Energy Crisis Worsens As Central Bank Cuts Subsidies

Marines Prepare to Evacuate Kabul Embassy ahead of Possible Taliban Assault

Western Afghanistan is fully under Taliban control.

Siberian wildfires dwarf all others on Earth combined

College professor held in wildland arson spree near California’s massive Dixie Fire

CDC Took Mistaken Data on Delta Variant Transmissibility From a New York Times Infographic

I would have preferred if they acknowledged that it will get worse before it backs down again but they are right that this is data nobody sees. Three Charts The Delta Variant Scaremongers Don’t Want You To See

Europe Could Face A Natural Gas Crisis This Winter

Links For Today

Our concern that shutting down hospitals to “flatten the curve” would kill people was dismissed by the health establishment. They knew better. The ABS analysed every single doctor-certified death in Australia and compared it to the five years between 2015 and 2019. According to the ABS, cancer deaths are up by 8.9 percent. We sacrificed our businesses to protect the elderly in nursing homes. Dementia deaths are up 18.9 percent. The health establishment is taking victory laps over a reduction in influenza death thanks to our closed borders and social distancing. Deaths from respiratory diseases are up by 1.9 percent.

The labor market ran hot, real wages fell

“What Do Full Hospitals Really Tell Us About COVID?”

Thank the Babylonians, not Pythagoras, for trigonometry

The rise and fall of Andrew Cuomo, New York’s glowering heavy

World War II, Food Insecurity, And the Modern Situation.

The lack of sufficient food and outright famine was widespread problem in World War II although it is not something most Americans are aware of. Typically, the urban areas had it worst. This was partially because those in the countryside were growing their own food and partially because of German policy. Take the “Hunger Plan” for example……

The German “Hunger Plan” called for “the annihilation of what the German régime perceived as a superfluous population (Jews, and the population of Ukrainian large cities such as Kiev, which received no supplies at all); extreme reduction of rations for Ukrainians in the remaining cities; and reduction in foodstuffs consumed by the farming population.”

Now this plan was not fully implemented, but there were massive famines in the Ukraine. And from everything I have read, those in the countryside faired far better than those in urban areas in part because it was impossible for the Germans to get farmers to grow food for them and at the same time prevent the farmers from feeding themselves. Also, disruptions in supply lines from the fighting impacted the urban areas that needed to import their food a lot more then it impacted the rural areas that grew the food. We can see this same dynamic (urban famine, rural areas doing comparatively better) all over Europe.

One example would the be the “Great Famine” in Greece. As Wikipedia puts it (emphasis mine)…..

The nutritional situation became critical in the summer of 1941 and in the autumn turned into a full-blown famine. Especially in the first winter of occupation (1941–42) food shortage was acute and famine struck especially in the urban centers of the country. Food shortage reached a climax and a famine was unavoidable. During that winter the mortality rate reached a peak, while according to British historian, Mark Mazower, this was the worst famine the Greeks experienced from ancient times. Bodies of dead persons were secretly abandoned in cemeteries or at the streets (possibly so their ration cards could continue to be used by surviving relatives). In other cases, bodies were found days after the death had taken place. The sight of emaciated dead bodies was commonplace in the streets of Athens.

The situation in Athens and the wider area with its port, Piraeus, was out of control, the hyperinflation was in full swing and the price of bread was increased 89-fold from April 1941 to June 1942. According to the records of the German army the mortality rate in Athens alone reached 300 deaths per day during December 1941, while the estimates of the Red Cross were much higher, at 400 deaths while in some days the death toll reached 1,000. Apart from the urban areas the population of the islands was also affected by the famine, especially those living in Mykonos, Syros and Chios.

There are no accurate numbers of the famine deaths because civil registration records did not function during the occupation. In general, it is estimated that Greece suffered approximately 300,000 deaths during the Axis occupation as a result of famine and malnutrition. However, not all parts of Greece experienced equal levels of food scarcity. Although comprehensive data on regional famine severity does not exist, the available evidence indicates that the severe movement restrictions, the proximity to agricultural production and the level of urbanization were crucial factors of famine mortality.

We can read similar things about the Dutch famine during World War II. Again, going by Wikipedia (emphasis mine) …..

Food stocks in the cities in the western Netherlands rapidly ran out. The adult rations in cities such as Amsterdam dropped to below 1000 calories (4,200 kilojoules) a day by the end of November 1944 and to 580 calories in the west by the end of February 1945. Over this Hongerwinter (“Hunger winter”), a number of factors combined to cause starvation in especially the large cities in the West of the Netherlands. The winter in the month of January 1945 itself was unusually harsh prohibiting transport by boat for roughly a month between early January 1945 and early February 1945. Also, the German army destroyed docks and bridges to flood the country and impede the Allied advance. Thirdly, Allied bombing made it extremely difficult to transport food in bulk, since Allied bombers could not distinguish German military and civilian shipments. As the south-eastern (the Maas valley) and the south-western part of the Netherlands (Walcheren and Beveland) became one of the main western battlefields, these conditions combined to make the transport of existing food stocks in large enough quantities nearly impossible.

The areas affected were home to 4.5 million people. Butter disappeared after October 1944, shortly after railway transport to the western parts of the Netherlands had stopped in September due to the railway strike. The supply of vegetable fats dwindled to a minuscule seven-month supply of 1.3 liters per person. At first 100 grams of cheese were allotted every two weeks; the meat coupons became worthless. The bread ration had already dropped from 2,200 to 1,800 and then to 1,400 grams per week. Then it fell to 1,000 grams in October, and by April 1945 to 400 grams a week. Together with one kilogram of potatoes, this then formed the entire weekly ration. The black market increasingly ran out of food as well, and with the gas and electricity and heat turned off, everyone was very cold and very hungry. In search of food, young strong people would walk for tens of kilometers to trade valuables for food at farms. Tulip bulbs and sugar beets were commonly consumed. Furniture and houses were dismantled to provide fuel for heating.

In the last months of 1944, in anticipation of the coming famine, tens of thousands of children were brought from the cities to rural areas where many remained until the end of the war. Deaths in the three big cities of the Western Netherlands (The Hague, Rotterdam, and Amsterdam) started in earnest in December 1944, reaching a peak in March 1945, but remained very high in April and May 1945. In early summer 1945 the famine was brought quickly under control. From September 1944 until May 1945 the deaths of 18,000 Dutch people were attributed to malnutrition as the primary cause and in many more as a contributing factor.

There are a lot of other similar stories that could be told about World War II but the bottom line is that food scarcity was an issue in many areas during World War II and it always seemed to hit hardest in the urban areas. Now I think to a lot of people this is sort of like announcing that water is wet. Who would expect anything differently?

But the fact that the experience of World War II accords with people’s natural expectations is precisely the problem. The things that enabled rural areas to do better during times of food shortages at the time of World War II no longer hold true and yet I don’t think people have updated their thinking to account for the changes.

As Chelsea Green’s “A Short History of the Agricultural Seed” says (emphasis mine)……

These changes didn’t “take” with farmers overnight. First of all, many of these inputs were expensive, and most farmers were not operating on a cash-intensive system—they produced all or most of their own fertility, feed, and seed for their farms. Pesticides, nitrogen fertilizer, and even tractors wouldn’t become commonplace on North American or European farms until after World War II, and even later in other parts of the world. The main source of fuel on the farm was the grain and hay produced on-farm for horses. It’s hard to believe now that only 100 years ago, even in countries that were rapidly industrializing, most of the population lived on farms that were largely self-sufficient, breeding their own animals and growing their crops from seed they had grown.

I don’t think many people have fully internalized how unprecedented modern times are compared to most of recorded history. Urban areas have always been vulnerable to the collapse of complicated supply lines since the time of the Bronze Age collapse. Rome famously lived in fear of its grain supplies being cut off just as much as Great Britain feared submarines. But at the time of World War II a farmer in Great Britain could feed himself even if there were not enough famers in Great Britain to feed the largely urban population of what was one of the most urbanized countries in the world at the time. But now a farmer cannot feed himself without the aid of a long and complicated supply line anymore then a city dweller can.

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