Category Archives: Uncategorized
Links for Today
Safety: Wound Care May Matter More Than Antibiotics
Dark Energy: Was Einstein Right After All? A dumb article. But easy to read if you don’t know anything about “dark energy.” If you have not followed astronomy for any length of time, you might not get how big this gradual revolution is. But basically, astronomers are being forced to admit that they know next to nothing about the universe by some data points that they just can’t explain with theories that they were confident of 20 years ago.
Links for Today
In case you have not already heard, no furloughs for now.
It all went a lot better than a fire + aceylene has any right too.
What I have been reading
I have known for a long time that nobody really understands water. It pleases some evil part of me that something as common as water has stumped the best minds of men for so long. That confusion may or may not be over. Time will tell. But I still learned a lot I did not know about water’s weirdness from this article.
Speaking of water, it is now being blamed for 30% of Global Warming. Maybe this new bit of info will take some of the blame off the cows.
But my reading has not all centered around high minded things like water. I have also been following dark and mundane things like the rank fear that has been emanating out of Europe. It has gotten so bad that Hungary’s Minister of Finance is responding in full force to blog posts by Edward Hugh. Nothing against Edward Hugh, but when your country’s Minister of Finance fells compelled to address his arguments, you have serious problems. But as this Guardian article reminds us, Europe’s current problems are nothing considering what they are going to face.
Speaking of reading dark things, I have got some books by Gene Wolfe out of the library. I have seen his name splashed around here and there. But I don’t have much use for fiction these days. In spite of this, I was intrigued by the Wikipedia article about him. There was a lot of things that intrigued me. But they are all summed up in the first two lines…
Gene Wolfe (born May 7, 1931) is an American science fiction and fantasy writer. He is noted for his dense, allusive prose as well as the strong influence of his Catholic faith, to which he converted after marrying a Catholic.
I don’t think I would have given the “dense, allusive prose” a second thought if had been for the part about being a Catholic. Something about the Catholic faith seems to be good at creating or attracting people who really get metaphor and symbolism. It will be interesting to see if Gene Wolfe falls into the same category or not.
Cat and mouse
One of the managers–one of those types who likes to monologue–was telling me that when the plant manager comes to the daily meeting, everyone is posturing to make themselves look good, by making other people look worse if necessary. He said it becomes a useless meeting where everyone is tearing each other apart, and that he and other managers had tried to explain this to the plant manager.
I had to think of the time for a few months when it seemed like the plant manager had quit coming to the meetings and was no longer interested. The other managers were rarely seen, and the meeting devolved into little more than a handshake on the day’s work, with some friendly (or not so friendly) put-downs thrown in.
This is not the first time I have heard that the plant manager has no business in a meeting about the day to day operations. But I think he can only afford not to be there when someone else is going to take care of the business for him. Somehow it still seems to require the plant manager emphasizing that their are customers who want their orders shipped before people become really eager to solve problems. People may point fingers more when he is around, but they volunteer a lot more, too.
So this is when we say that the plant manager needs to work on his management team. But we say this after a year of multiple general layoffs that included the elimination of two management positions and the firing–sorry, sudden resigning–of another. And even aside from the volatility of these changes, we are speaking of the great gamble: whether you can get someone better than you have now. When ordinary budgetary approvals are going two and three levels up, and you are located far away from attractions for the business elite, it is no small thing to speak of improving the caliber of your management team.
Links for Today
Is the US punishing Georgia for helping Israel?
Should Iceland be punished? Read the comments, the answer is not as clear cut as you might think. On the other hand, you can’t get blood out of a stone, so what does the U.K really hope to accomplish?
And it should be noted that it is not quite accurate to say that Iceland’s president vetoed the measure to pay back the U.KIceland. At least, he did not veto it in the way that Americans think of the word veto.
Links for Today
Last Chance
Business has been picking up. We got caught out by unexpected sales driven by desperate promotions, followed by major months-long issues with our supply of steel (almost as important as electricity). We’re behind the curve, and we have been hiring back some production people to help ramp up production.
I ran into one of those people on Friday. I was surprised to see her as she had been let go quite a long time ago, before the cutbacks had affected any salaried employees. There could be more to this story, complexities I am not aware of, but the effect of seeing someone so far back in the queue working again was to provoke the suspicion that many people earlier in line had turned down the opportunity to work here. And I doubt too many of them have jobs elsewhere.
I’ve been told before that statistically we are very competive in our pay and benefits for this area. And I’ve heard stories from the other manufacturing facilities that can make this place seem enlightened. I wonder if the lack of enthusiasm for returning to work for Acme should reflect on Acme’s reputation, or on the work ethic of the departed? I know some of the salaried people had every intention of running out the last drop of their unemployment.
The best thing I could make of it is perhaps this person had a good reputation and was preferred on the call-back. But this doesn’t line up with my understanding of the context of her departure. So I am pretty sure it is a bad sign one way or the other.
Two different reasons for hiding data
Today I have science on the brain. Or at least some vague approximation of the word (I have real trouble spelling it, for some reason).
I spent some time reading up on Robert Hooke just because I did not know much about him other then he was Newton’s nemesis.
Reading it made me kind of depressed. If you ever get to thinking that you’re smart, you should read about some of the early giants of the enlightenment. When they weren’t making ground breaking discoveries in 42 separate areas of study (all of which they were pursuing at the same time), they were designing buildings, hard to counterfeit currencies, and building better watches. I think they benefited greatly from living in a time that was wealthy enough that many men could devote themselves to thought and yet it was still expected that a man of thought would be able to build things with his own hands.
But be that as it may, those biographies of early scientists are depressing for reasons other then how small they make us feel. The early giants of the scientific revolution repeatedly demonstrated they could be awfully small minded. They stole ideas from each other and did not give credit. They jealously guarded their own data and ideas lest someone else steal them. They slandered each other and tried to destroy all the works that their opponents left behind.
Reading all of those things, one can’t help but think of the recent climategate scandal. One is tempted to trot out the old adage “the more things change, the more things stay the same.”
But there is a crucial difference. The early giants of the scientific revolution had ideas that would change the world and stand the test of time. And they knew the value of what they had. That is why they fought like cats and dogs over who thought up the ideas first.
On the other hand, the scientists involved in global warming research have no clue what they are doing. They can’t even reproduce their own work, much less have it be tested by others. They hide their data not because they know it is of great worth, but because they know that it is next to worthless (and that’s being kind.)
Rumblings of the Big One
Today I hear a rumble. I see everything starting to shift. I think there is an earthquake coming.
As of July 2009, California’s budget shortfall was 49.3% of its general funds. States have considered drastic options to fill such gaps.
“I looked as hard as I could at how states could declare bankruptcy,” said Michael Genest, director of the California Department of Finance who is stepping down at the end of the year. “I literally looked at the federal constitution to see if there was a way for states to return to territory status.”
From later on in the same article….
Mr. Genest estimated that, eventually, 40% of the state’s budget would go to the state Medicaid program, 40% to education, 10% to debt service and 6% to retiree medical services and pension—leaving little left for anything else, such as the state’s corrections system.
In other words, California is going to choose hand outs over maintaining public order. The lowering of crime rates over the last twenty years was achieved by throwing lots and lots of people in jail. We are going to see violent crime rates climb as states decided that they can not afford to keep people in jails.
But it is not just California…..
The real talking was done Monday, when Mr. Paterson was at his articulate, compelling best, explaining the budget crisis in terms even someone otherwise oblivious to deadlines and consequences and seemingly any pressure to confront them might still understand.
“Unless immediate action is taken, we will have challenges to our state’s finances and to our cash flow in four and a half weeks,” the governor said.
Translation: New York State is not going to have enough money to pay all of its bills in a month.
Not a surprise when you consider this…..
New York spends $2,283 per capita on Medicaid, far more than any other state and twice the national average, according to statistics compiled by the state budget division. Second is Rhode Island, which spends $1,659. The state also spends $14,884 per pupil on school aid, more than any other state and well above the national average of $9,138.
But of course, it is not just America that is facing these kinds of problems….
Chang argues that inconsistencies in Chinese official statistics — like the surging numbers for car sales but flat statistics for gasoline consumption — indicate that the Chinese are simply cooking their books. He speculates that Chinese state-run companies are buying fleets of cars and simply storing them in giant parking lots in order to generate apparent growth.
Another data point cited by the bears: overcapacity. For example, the Chinese already consume more cement than the rest of the world combined, at 1.4 billion tons per year. But they have dramatically ramped up their ability to produce even more in recent years, leading to an estimated spare capacity of about 340 million tons, which, according to a report prepared earlier this year by Pivot Capital Management, is more than the consumption in the U.S., India and Japan combined.
This, Chanos and others argue, is happening in sector after sector in the Chinese economy. And that means the Chinese are in danger of producing huge quantities of goods and products that they will be unable to sell.