Left Hand Not Talking To The Right Hand

From Brad Setser….

It seems like China’s top leaders knew less about China’s portfolio that American reserve watchers; it is not inconceivable (gulp) that I was the source for those published report about China’s Agency holdings.

Dr. Setser is referring to this Wall Street Journal article….

The alarm for Chinese leaders started ringing loudly in July and August as problems deepened at Fannie and Freddie. Senior Chinese leaders, who hadn’t been apprised in detail of how China’s reserves were being invested, learned for the first time in published reports that the country’s exposure to debt from those two alone totaled nearly $400 billion, say people familiar with the matter.

Fearing that the U.S. government might not fully back the companies, China demanded and received regular briefings throughout the peak of the crisis from high-level Treasury Department officials, including Mr. Paulson, on the market for U.S. debt securities — especially those of the mortgage giants.

It is not clear to me if this is the honest truth, or it is people who knew and are now trying to say that they did not know so as to deflect blame.

Do you have any shock left?

From The International Air Transport Association…..

In the month of December global international cargo traffic plummeted by 22.6% compared to December 2007. The same comparison for international passenger traffic showed a 4.6% drop. The international load factor stood at 73.8%.

For the full-year 2008, international cargo traffic was down 4.0%, passenger traffic showed a modest increase of 1.6%, and the international load factor stood at 75.9%.

“The 22.6% free fall in global cargo is unprecedented and shocking. There is no clearer description of the slowdown in world trade. Even in September 2001, when much of the global fleet was grounded, the decline was only 13.9%,” said Giovanni Bisignani, IATA’s Director General and CEO.” Air cargo carries 35% of the value of goods traded internationally.

There is all this from The American Trucking Associations….

The American Trucking Associations’ advanced seasonally adjusted For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index plunged 11.1 percent in December 2008, marking the largest month-to-month reduction since April 1994, when the unionized less-than-truckload industry was in the midst of a strike. December’s drop was the third-largest single-month drop since ATA began collecting the data in 1973. In December, the seasonally adjusted tonnage index equaled just 98.3 (2000 = 100), its lowest level since December 2000. The not seasonally adjusted index edged 0.6 percent higher in December.

(h/t Calculated Risk here and here)

History repeats itself as a farce

From the Telegraph….

The prospect of a trade war between the US and Europe is looming after “Buy American” provisions were added to President Barack Obama’s $820 billion (£573 billion) stimulus package.

The EU trade commissioner vowed to fight back after the bill passed in the House of Representatives late on Wednesday included a ban on most purchases of foreign steel and iron used in infrastructure projects.

The Senate’s version of the legislation, which will be debated early next week, goes even further, requiring that any projects related to the stimulus use only American-made equipment and goods.

Some People Are Disgusting

Read this first…..

But while the video received five stars from viewers, some YouTube users were concerned that the dog might be about to lash out at Lucy.

Alexandra Semyonova wrote: “The dog exercises huge self control for a full minute and a half, then gets up and walks away in the end.

“But if it hadn’t, if it had lashed out even symbolically, this child could have spent the rest of its life without a face — and everyone would have blamed the dog.”

Now watch this….

Some people know nothing about dogs. That dog was having almost as much fun as the baby. I have seen dogs put up with a lot worse.

Alternatively, some people hate kids and think that anything that they do must irritate a dog. Either way, the people getting up in arms over this video are disgusting.

Mr Sarkozy to be shown who is boss

From the Telegraph….

Public sector workers – from schools, hospitals, the Post Office and publicly-funded media – will join forces with car factory workers, helicopter pilots and even ski-lift operators from the private sector, to leave much of the country paralysed.

The show of force is backed by all of France’s main unions, the opposition Socialists and 75 per cent of the public see it as justified, according to one poll.

According to François Chérèque, leader of the moderate CFDT union, the strike is a “cry of anger” from workers who feel the government has given billions to banks and industry but not protected their jobs or “purchasing power”.

Not much is going to come of this. The French government is going to back down so fast that there will be no need to prolong the strikes.

So who are the fools with their money still in the UK?

From the Daily Mail…..

Britain was just three hours away from going bust last year after a secret run on the banks, one of Gordon Brown’s Ministers has revealed.

City Minister Paul Myners disclosed that on Friday, October 10, the country was ‘very close’ to a complete banking collapse after ‘major depositors’ attempted to withdraw their money en masse.

The Mail on Sunday has been told that the Treasury was preparing for the banks to shut their doors to all customers, terminate electronic transfers and even block hole-in-the-wall cash withdrawals.

Only frantic behind-the-scenes efforts averted financial meltdown.

I don’t know if I believe anything that I read in the Daily Mail. But no body seems to be denying the quote. And it seems to me that anyone with large amounts of foreign exchange has to realize that if a crunch ever comes, they will get their dollars/euros when the British government is good and ready to let them. Given the example of Iceland, a lot of people have reason to be nervous.

Canada's do-not-call registry sold to telemarketers.

From the Globe and Mail…

Listing your name on Canada’s new do-not-call registry could actually increase the likelihood that you will be targeted by unscrupulous telemarketers.

The Consumers’ Association of Canada says it has been inundated with complaints from people who have been called by scam artists after placing their telephone numbers on the registry, which went into effect last September.

The do-not-call list was created to prevent telemarketers from contacting people who do not want to be pestered with uninvited sales pitches. For companies to find out who they are not permitted to call, the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission sells the list online for a fee.

From later on in the article….

Penalties for misuse of the registry run as high as $15,000 for a corporation, or $1,500 for an individual. But it’s difficult to fine fraudsters who are based overseas – or those in Canada running a fly-by-night business.

(h/t Marginal Revolution)