Things are moving so fast this is already majorly out of date in terms of what Ukraine has taken. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, SEPTEMBER 9
How the Russian invasion is changing Ukrainian farmers’ crops
In Face of Rising Domestic Prices, India Restricts Rice Exports
The World Is Not Ready For The Next Super-Eruption, Scientists Warn
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, SEPTEMBER 8
UKRAINE WAR: Moscow, We Have a Problem
DECLARING A DISASTER IN THE STATE OF NEW YORK because of Polio.
Links are short because I spent to much time watching Pro-Ukraine U-Tube videos like this….
And this….
And this….
Honestly, I think it would more profitable from a understanding things point of view to ignore all that and wait for the dust to settle. But I could not help myself.
The pro-Ukraine sources are getting excited and not because of the southern offensive.
These are the types of breakouts that you keep paratroopers and other quick reaction forces on hand so that they can buy you time. I guess now we will find out how many of them the Russians have left after using them to man the line down south……
This one might be pure propaganda but it gives you a taste of what is out there..
This is the pro-Russian view. You can tell they are worried when they start explaining that they are really fighting NATO and not Ukrainians…..
This is a Ukraine view in counter to the above……
All that said, there is always a real risk of overextensions on these kinds of things. This is a true test of the mobility of the Russian arms. If they have reserves of any significance left, they should be able to pincer this attack and it might even help them now that the Ukrainians are out of the trench. But if they tied up their best troops holding the line then this will be textbook example of why your elite forces are supposed to be in reserve (where Napoleon famously kept his Old Guard for example).
A day behind but they are putting them out to late at night these days to stay current. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, SEPTEMBER 6
What the Natural Gas Shortage Means for Germany
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A German View: Zelenskyy’s Risky Push
US: Russia to buy rockets, artillery shells from North Korea
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Enormous Solar Storm May Create Auroras Across Northern U.S. States
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Honestly, this is not all that different from the nation at large and a major reason life expectancy in America is gong down. A staggering total of 109 soldiers assigned to Fort Bragg died in 2020 and 2021.
Brawls break out and shelves stripped bare as Chinese city heads for ‘strictest lockdown’
Earthquake In Southwest China Kills 65 As Millions In Region Are Under Lockdown
This is one way to make sure the lights go out. The President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen last Friday called for a price cap to be imposed on Russian gas imports to thwart, as she said, the Russian President’s attempt to manipulate the EU energy market. Now, however, it seems a price cap for all imports of natural gas is on the table, including from long-term friends such as Norway. More commentary here.
Manhunt after 10 stabbed to death in Saskatchewan
Israel concedes soldier likely shot Al Jazeera journalist
It is make or break time for Ukraine. Peter Zeihan has a good overview of what the stakes are.
The one thing that Peter does not go into is the consequences of failure for Ukraine. They really don’t have time on their hands. Western populations forced their leaders to adopt harder line on Russia then they really intended to (so much so that US treasury had to ask companies to not “over enforce” sanction regulations and EU ports were turning away legal Russian cargos because the longshore unions were refusing to unload). But the EU populations are starting to learn what the consequences are for their actions and Ukraine is going to start facing a falling off of support if for no other reason that all easy gifts (small arms, old stocks of soviet weapons in eastern European weapon stocks) have all been given. So the question of the hour is does Ukraine have a chance of achieving its goals in southern Ukraine?