Seems crazy to me, but then I thought the same thing when talk was first going around about Russia invading Ukraine. The main thing to know is that this has gone beyond some crank saying something to some tabloid and it be blasted all over the place as “sources say something outrageous to get us views”. This is multiple high level politicians across multiple countries saying this publicly. That said, what they are talking about is not full scale invasion but even with caveat, these things can so easily get out of hand when they start.

They are starting to take steps to adapt but it is going to get worse for them before it gets better.

From a practical perspective, it is a little oversold. But from a morale perspective, it certainly has had a major impact that was only exceeded by Wagner marching on Moscow. I don’t think even the successful Ukraine counterattacks from a few years ago bothered the average Russian as much as this.