Free money for everyone

From Naked Capitalism….

The ECB’s offer to lend to all takers who could post collateral for two weeks at 4.21% or higher led to an unprecedented $500 billion worth of advances.

From Yahoo….

For perhaps as many as 27 million American adults, keeping warm this winter will mean borrowing money and 20 million will use credit cards to be able to afford their heating bills, according to a CreditCards.com poll.

From the Wall Street Journal….

Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, once a fiscal hawk among Clinton Democrats, said the government should consider a $50 billion to $75 billion tax-cut and spending package to stave off a deep recession.

Inflation Links of Interest

From Naked Capitalism,

Although food inflation has been hard to miss (just go to a grocery store), it’s getting worse. Inflation in cereals, which drives the costs of other foodstuffs, is accelerating. Bloomberg reports that wheat has just risen to over $10 a bushel as corn and soybean prices are spiking; the Financial Times has a series of articles today on food price inflation.

From Mish,

Notice how the index for shelter is rising even though home prices are falling nationally. This tells me the .3% rise for shelter simply is not happening. This component was seriously understated for many years but is now overstated for the last two years. What is rising however, is the cost of “driving” a home so to speak. Energy (heating and utilities) are soaring but with $400,000 homes (2005 prices) now going for $250,000 in many places, the overall cost of housing for a new buyer has plunged. Unfortunately the debt hasn’t, and that debt is an enormous drag on bank and consumer balance sheets alike.

And Stuart Staniford has bunch of graphs relating to food inflation. He ends his piece by saying…

And there lie the key issues for wealthy citizens of developed nations I think.

In the last year, there have been food riots, protests, or stampedes in Mauritania, China, Senegal, India, Pakistan, Morocco, Mexico, Yemen, Indonesia, and Burkina Faso.

If food prices continue to go up, the world’s middle classes will still be able to afford ample food. But it’s hard to see how, in the long term, we will be insulated from the social and ecological collapses that might get triggered in poor countries.

The Bailout is Here

The the best explanation of the Fed bailout on the web comes from Interfluidity…..

I agree with several commentators (Felix Salmon, Calculated Risk) that the Bair/Paulson Plan, whatever it is, is not a bailout. But this, this is a bailout,. Nearly all government bailouts take the form of subsidized loans, extending credit at low rates to counterparties or against collateral for which the market would have demanded a high premium. That is precisely what the TAF will do. The Fed’s press release claims, of course, that loans will only be available to “sound” banks, and that they will be “fully collateralized”. But no one who can get the same deal from private markets will use this facility. The need for the program arises because private markets are skeptical about the soundness of counterparties and the quality of the assets they have to offer as collateral. The Fed hints at this when it mentions the “wide variety of collateral” that can be used to secure loans. You can bet that whatever it is private lenders are eschewing will be pledged as collateral to the Fed under TAF. The Fed is going to bear private risk that market refuses to. That is a bailout.

Calculated Risk also has things to say. Felix Salmon explains just how lax the requirements for collateral are…….

But what if the CDO is completely illiquid, and you can’t find a price for it at all? No worries, the Fed will still accept it as collateral, and lend up to 85% of par value. (There’s an interesting thought experiment here: what happens if a long-term CDO has a market value of, say, 90 cents on the dollar? In that case, an illiquid version of that CDO would actually be worth more to the Fed than the liquid version.)

Do keep on looking down that list, though: it turns out that banks can even put up as collateral subprime credit-card receivables – they don’t even need a AAA rating.

The Wall Street Journal has an explanation. Marginal Revolution has a take. So does Macro Man.

Ape Man is going to hate this. He wrote this rant before the bailout was announced.

Edit: I should have also included this from Bloomberg…

The Federal Reserve took advantage of emergency powers to authorize the auctions that officials felt were necessary to ease a credit squeeze, concluding it otherwise lacked legal permission to do so.

The Fed bypassed requirements for prior notice and public comment when writing the regulations to implement today’s agreement with the European Central Bank and three other central banks. The Fed’s official notice today said any delay caused by following standard procedures would have been “contrary to the public interest.”

Three Links for Sunday Reading

A long time ago as far as most people’s memory’s go, Japan had a major real estate bust that lead to a major economic downturn. To fight the down turn Japan’s government borrowed massively to pour a lout of concrete. Now Japan is starting to pay the price. Spiegel has the story.

China’s government thinks that it can set prices for all kinds things. From oil to currency, there is little of importance that trades freely in China. Now this fetish for control is beginning to have predictable economic affects. The Australian has the story.

We are all religious fundamentalists. Our values are not shaped by reason because reason has nothing to say when it comes to values. Nothing illustrates this like the argument over killing cats to save birds. New York Times has a detailed look at the problem.

Bad News From Florida

This from Naked Capitalism…

The debacle in Florida, namely a $27 billion short-tern investment fund being frozen after the revelation it held $700 million of defaulted debt (today reported as $900 million) led to $12 billion in withdrawals, is producing a cash crisis at the government entities that hadn’t gotten their money back.

Aside from the troubles this impairment is creating in and of itself, it will feed “run on the fund” behavior if any other government-operated funds encounter similar difficulties.

Is this funny or sad?

From the comment section at Calculated Risk….

You know what cracks me up though (just a final word on FL vs. NY?) Forbes just listed Binghamton N.Y. as one of America’s hottest RE markets. Oh man I can’t get over THAT one.

It’s “hot” only because you won’t lose your shirt on a house you bought there last year…!

Since “Dale” is someone who is unknown to me, I had to check this out. I could not find the Forbes article that he mentioned online, but I did find this article that seems to back up his claim. It mentions a Forbes article and it shows that prices in Binghamton have gone up almost 20 percent since last year. That puts Binghamton in second place (just under Salt Lake City) in terms of real estate appreciation over the last year.

Who would have ever thought that Binghamton’s real estate market would one day do better then almost every where else in the country?