Russian Planes destroyed Georgia's fighting capability

To much was made of the few Russian planes that Georgia manged to down. From McClatchy Newspapers…..

At first, news of Russia’s aerial attacks came in fragments. An airfield was hit, a radar station demolished. But by Monday, as bombs fell among the withdrawing Georgian forces, it was only too clear what the Russians had been up to.

The early strikes had made it impossible for Georgians, who in the war’s first day had shot down four Russian aircraft, to mount an effective response. Now Russian jets could dominate the skies.

Col. Gen. Anatoly Nagovitsin, the deputy head of the Russian military’s general staff, put it bluntly: “I can report on Russian supremacy in the airspace. Georgian aircraft stopped flying.”

Outside Tskhinvali, Georgian soldiers huddled beneath trees and bridges, trying to stay out of the line of sight of passing Russian jets. In addition to military trucks, troops were being moved around in civilian buses and vans. In Gori, soldiers worked out of a university building.

They had to hide; there was no answer to the Su-25 fighter jets, TU-22 bombers and others streaking nearby, looking for prey.

If you read the full article, you will get a lot of direct quotes from Georgian soldiers.

Poem of the week: 8/10/08-8/16/08

This week’s poem of the week is the song Delarey. It was brought to mind by the problems that Georgia is experiencing. The Boers lost their war against the English but they prevailed in the end. When the English withdrew from South Africa they left the Boers in charge. But even still the Boers still cling to memory of their lost war as a badge of honor and so will the Georgians after the Russians have beaten them.

The difference between the Georgians and the Boers is that when the Russians inevitably get draw away by other problems the Georgians will have the demographic majority in their own country. Then it will be a bad time to be a member of the ethnic minorities who sided with the Russians. One only has to think of what happened to the Africans after the English left South Africa even though the Africans outnumbered the Boers. The ethnic minorities that are siding with Russia will not even have that advantage

Georgia has failed

From Edward Lucas’s blog….

Now that strategy is in ruins. As things stand, Georgia will be fighting not to regain South Ossetia or even to deter aggression, but to survive. It is hard to see any good outcome. Georgia has failed to win a quick victory: crucially, it failed to block the Roki tunnel under the Caucasus mountains, normally used as a smugglers’ highway, but now the route for Russian heavy weapons that Georgia cannot counter for long. Worse, the authorities in Abkhazia, Georgia’s other breakaway region, may mount an attack, either on its own or with Russian help.

It seems clear that Georgia has failed to block the tunnel for long even if they did strike at as the Belmont Club suggested. Apparently there are TV clips showing Russian troops pouring out of those tunnels, though I have not seen one to link to yet.

Edit: Belmont Club provides its own dark update.

Georgia President Tells His Side of the Story

If you listen to clip, you will here the Georgian President tell his side of the story. He claims he did not try to take the breakaway city. Rather, he says he was responding to the fact that Russia APC started crossing the border. I am inclined to believe him. If only because it would have been suicidal for Georgia to start this fight (as he himself admitted).

What is Georgia thinking?

As most people know, Russia and Georgia are fighting. This from the New York Times…

Russia acknowledged that Georgian forces had shot down two Russian warplanes, while a senior Georgian official said the Georgians had destroyed 10 Russian jets. Russian armored vehicles continued to stream into South Ossetia, the pro-Russian region that won de facto autonomy from Georgia in the early 1990s.

The fighting that began when Georgian forces tried to retake the capital of the South Ossetia, Tskinvali, appeared to be developing into the worst clashes between Russia and a foreign military since the 1980s war with Afghanistan.

What I do not understand is why Georgian military forces decided to try to retake South Ossetia. Granted, Russia has been trying to provoke Georgia for a long time. But how have the Georgian’s made their position better either military or politically by trying to retake South Ossetia? You can argue that they had every right in the world to do so if you want to, but it still does not change the fact that they started the fight. When you start a fight, you had better be prepared to win or take the consequences.

It is hard to imagine Georgia winning against Russia at the present time. If they had waited 10 years maybe they could have pulled it off. But right now Russia has plenty of money to pay for weapons. And who is going to dare sell anything to the Georgians even if they have money?

This is English language news from Russian (read Russian Propaganda)….

This is from AlJazeera…..